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May 30, 2006

A Convenient Truth

In two years, we again will be in the middle of a presidential campaign (wow, is it really that soon?). Likely Republican candidates include George Allen of Virginia, Mitt Romney of Massachusetts, and Bill Frist of Tennessee. Democrats may have an advantage in name recognition, but will that be enough? Mark Warner, former governor of Virginia, has been tossed around by many, but it seems more likely that he will be the VP candidate as Democrats will likely continue the trend of selecting Democrats that appear more liberal. Hillary Clinton, Senator from New York, has also been a favorite name tossed around, but with her show of support for the War in Iraq, and her polarizing nature, the Democratic Party will likely avoid her as well. Who might the Democrats warm to?

Hmm, warm?

Like global warming?

Al Gore is positioning himself for a run in '08. Pay no attention to his claims of being a "recovering politician"; the timing of his new film, increased visibility, and strong criticism of the current administration all appear to point to a burgeoning campaign. Never mind the fact that Al Gore seems to be trying to cling to the last of his fifteen minutes, he could possibly be a very popular candidate.

Why is that? First, what does the average American know about Al Gore? Other than the word "lockbox" and strong concerns about global warming, I imagine not much. In 2000, Gore lost a tough election to President Bush, gaining further support from Democrats across the nation. "What if?" runs through the minds of America's left, and not just wondering what life would be like without George W. Bush in the White House. There was a great sense of commiseration towards Gore. This could play very much in Gore's favor, where liberals outside of Virginia are cool towards Warner and liberals in general are fed up with Clinton. While many more candidates will likely make a push towards the primaries (I suspect Kerry, Edwards, and Lieberman will all make attempts again), a Gore campaign would probably be able to take a lot of momentum into the primaries and only a Dean-scream-like mistake could bring rise to a different candidate.

Now, in the general election, could Gore be successful? He will not have Republican support, but sympathy for Gore from independant voters could play a large part in '08.

Global warming is not the threat that Al Gore attempts to portray it as. However, Al Gore could be a threat for the 2008 Presidential Election.

Where is that lockbox? It would be a little reassuring if we could put Al Gore in there until 2009.