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October 11, 2006

A few observations about Northern Virginia

1. I was driving on Fairfax County Parkway and other roads the last couple days and I noticed a number of political signs placed in the medians. There were a few (though not an overwhelming number) George Allen signs, but as far as I could see, only one Webb sign in the grass next to an off-ramp.

2. Not only that, but there were a few cars with bumper stickers. Again, there were a few bumper stickers for Allen. Curiously, people still have Kerry/Edwards '04 stickers on their cars, as well as a few that are still showing support for Tim Kaine. Surprisingly, very few of these cars or others had James Webb bumper stickers, and less than those for Senator Allen.

3. Other candidates and referenda on the ballot also have some attention in this area. I saw a couple of signs and stickers supporting the marriage amendment, and none opposing it. There also appeared to be many people supporting Frank Wolf, even more signs for him than the junior senator, and the same held true to a greater extent for Tom Davis.

What does this all say?

Interestingly, it appears that few people are getting excited about Senator Allen. However, even fewer appear keen on Democrats in general in an area that is supposed to be the Democrats' stronghold in Virginia. Certainly, this is less reliable than a poll, particularly as it only covers a couple major roads in Northern Virginia, but it still appears quite telling. Republicans in the area are geared up to vote for their congressmen and the amendment, and will likely bring in Senator Allen on their coattails, rather than vice-versa. However, Democrats may not be as excited right now in this area, and let's face it, if James Webb does not carry Northern Virginia by a significant margin (and with a significant turnout), he will lose; I am sure even the kiddies over at Raising Kaine will concede that point.

Again, this is not something to rely on, but if the trend that appears is true, these last 27 days before the election are simply going to delay the inevitable; whether by a large margin or small, George Allen will be awarded another six years in the Senate.

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